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By: Kondratyev, Sun Jul 15th, 2012
A global Kondratieff K Wave winter season is underway. The K Wave will give you an entirely new perspective on the global financial and sovereign debt crisis that is shaking the global economy and international free market capitalism to its very foundations. It explains that the global economy has now topped in the final business cycle of the current long wave and reveals why the global crisis is accelerating into a final global crash into 2013. The book explains how the long wave will impact your investments including stocks, bonds, real estate and gold. The Kondratieff long wave is in the process of radically changing the world. Gold is rapidly becoming the new world reserve currency. Barker accurately predicted the global financial and economic crisis in stunning detail-the deflationary debt collapse, crashing stock markets, the international banking disaster, political trends, and the current crisis of capitalism, years in advance in The K Wave (1995) McGraw-Hill. Now the reader is provided with this expanded update based on the powerful evidence for the Kondratieff "K" wave cycle, including dozens of stunning and revealing long wave charts, plus Fibonacci Level 1 charts of all major markets. The K Wave demonstrates that long wave theory is the most accurate global financial market forecaster available. The book reviews how the Kondratieff long wave has been validated by System Dynamics research at MIT. It identifies the final phase of this long wave winter season as a global debt and stock market collapse into 2013. This book also makes the compelling case for a new golden age for the global economy in the coming long wave spring season, not based on global socialism or the redistribution of wealth, but a new form of genuine and lasting international free market capitalism. After the final global K Wave crash into 2013, a new long wave spring season will produce a global financial and economic boom. You can survive the final K Wave crash and thrive in the coming global K Wave boom. If successful prediction is a sign of good science, in the book "Business Cycles: Why Stocks Won't Beat Money Markets over the Next Twenty Years" predicted poor stock market returns for twenty years beginning in 2000, has impressive scientific credentials. Economists and historians have long been fascinated the apparent cycles in the various branches study. The analyses range from the purely literary, such as David Landes' "The " Great Wave', to fairly technical, such as Sumru Altug's recent "Business Cycles" Alexander advances an interesting hypothesis that generations have uniifying characteristics, The Baby Boomers or the Greatest Generation (at my age, I like that one), usually driven by a reaction to the previous generation. I think he tries to make the relationship too tight; he has neat limited succession of generational types tied to his readings of the course of history. An interesting conribution, but men will continue to puzzle over a cycle that may not exist. The theory of stock cycles and innovation waves developed earlier, with a generational cycle based on the idea of birth cohort peer personalities, a Kondratieff social stress cycle, a world power cycle and a political cycle to describe a single operative cycle that is currently approximately 72 years. The analysis is very quantitative and relies quite a bit on statistical significance testing, something that is understandably lacking in most long cycle research.